Reds vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks – July 9

Updated Jul. 9, 2025, 7:00 p.m. ET

In an exciting matchup, the Miami Marlins, featuring Otto Lopez, will face off against Gavin Lux and the Cincinnati Reds on Wednesday at Great American Ball Park. The Reds are currently favored to win at -143, while the Marlins enter as the underdogs with +121 odds. Cincinnati is also a 1.5-run favorite at +145 odds, with a total of 9 runs for the game.

Here’s everything you need to know from a betting perspective about the Reds-Marlins matchup, covering the run line, moneyline, totals, and expert picks. Stay updated with MLB on FOX Sports.

Reds vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

When: Wednesday, July 9, 2025, at 7:10 p.m. ET

Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio

How to Watch on TV: FDSOH and FDSFL

Favorite	Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line Favorite	Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Reds	-143	+121	9	-104	-116	-1.5	+145	-175

Reds vs. Marlins Prediction

Score Prediction: Reds 5, Marlins 4

Total Prediction: Under 9 runs

Win Probabilities: Reds 55%, Marlins 45%

Reds vs. Marlins Betting Insights

This season, the Reds have entered 38 games as favorites, winning 18 of those matches, which amounts to a 47 phfun login philippines.4% success rate. When favored by -143 or more, they hold a record of 6-6, translating to a 50% win rate. The implied probability of the moneyline gives the Reds a 58.8% chance of victory.

On the other hand, the Marlins have been underdogs in 79 games this season, securing 37 wins (46.8%). They have a record of 26-30 when sportsbooks favor them at +121 or worse on the moneyline. According to the moneyline, the Marlins have a 45.2% chance to win this matchup.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

In their last 10 games, the Reds have a record of 1-3 as moneyline favorites. They have exceeded the run total five times in these outings, all of which had predefined totals. The Reds’ record against the spread in their last 10 games is 3-7-0.

Reds Recent Stats

Stat	Average/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	3.8
Home Runs	6
ERA	5.86
K/9	7.4

Reds Player Insights

Elly De La Cruz leads the Reds with 18 home runs and 60 RBIs, ranking 22nd in home runs and 12th in RBIs across all MLB hitters. TJ Friedl boasts a batting average of .278, while Spencer Steer holds a .252 average with 15 doubles and 10 home runs. Gavin Lux contributes with 16 doubles and 38 walks, batting .261.

Reds Team Props

Player	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Tyler Stephenson	0.5 (-205)	1.5 (+135)	–	0.5 (+180)
TJ Friedl	0.5 (-255)	1.5 (+120)	–	0.5 (+200)
Spencer Steer	0.5 (-210)	1.5 (+135)	–	0. betso88 login password5 (+180)
Noelvi Marte	0.5 (-205)	1.5 (+130)	–	0.5 (+185)
Gavin Lux	0. jilipark casino login registration5 (-205)	1.5 (+145)	–	0.5 (+200)

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

The Marlins have played as underdogs in nine of their last 10 games, winning seven of these matchups. In terms of hitting the over, they have a record of 4-6-0 with their opponents in their last 10 games. Against the spread, the Marlins achieved an impressive 9-1-0 record in their last 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat	Average/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	4.8
Home Runs	9
ERA	2.57
K/9	9.1

Marlins Player Insights

Otto Lopez carries a batting average of .249 with nine home runs and 27 walks this season. Kyle Stowers is leading the team with 16 home runs and 48 RBIs, while Agustin Ramirez brings a .249 average with 14 home runs. Xavier Edwards tops the Marlins with a .289 batting average.

Marlins Team Props

Player	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Eric Wagaman	0.5 (-225)	1. rg777 jackpot super5 (+125)	–	0.5 (+175)
Dane Myers	0.5 (-230)	1.5 (+135)	–	0.5 (+190)
Agustin Ramirez	0.5 (-250)	1.5 (+105)	–	0.5 (+165)
Xavier Edwards	1.5 (+180)	1.5 (+115)	–	0.5 (+270)
Otto Lopez	1.5 (+185)	1.5 (+110)	–	0.5 (+165)